The Bottom Line:
- Welcome back family! We’ve had a great time and made lots of money lately.
- Will the Fed cause a recession by cutting rates? Discover why this might happen.
- Introducing the Stock Mode Discord bot – a powerful tool for stock and crypto trading.
- TMF analysis: Will it turn bullish soon? Dive into the technical indicators.
- Fed’s own data predicts a 58.3% chance of recession by March 2025. Explore the chart and insights.
Understanding the Impact of Fed Rate Cuts on the Economy
Analysis of the Impact of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts on Economic Conditions
welcome back family we’ve been having a great time lately a lot of money being made we had some monster plays last week we know why I andn called that one at the bottom ran it up we have some other plays out there we’re watching for this week but a lot of things come down to what is the Fed going to do is J pal and crew going to absolutely Slaughter this Market or are they going to do everything they can to push it higher and higher and higher yes I know everyone out there it’s an election year we got inflation back down to 3% what’s going to happen and so today I got to tell you I still believe and I’m going to show you some data here you make up your own mind in this video but I still believe that the FED is going to cut two to three times this year and they’re going to cause a recession and the chart and here’s the thing I’m going to use the fed’s own analysis to show you why I think this is going to happen at the end of the day like I said you can make up your own opinion.
Market Trends and Investment Strategies for the Current Scenario
this is where they actually cauterized it stitched this up put some antibiotics on there and now we’re healing for anybody that’s been TMF they have decided to stop the $60 billion roll off of their balance sheet take it down to 25 billion and to me this was monstrous it took 105 billion per quarter of stress on that long data Treasury and just the treasuries in in general so I was really excited about that and I still excited about it so much so we’re talking about it today and so I did load up on some TMF throughout the week I already have a big position I did add on now I’m going to wait until about June right around the last week of May into June and add some additional long-dated treasury exposure be it TLT be it TMF but it will be something and so for those who were following along in the patreon you know you’re going to get that notification you know you’re going to have to charge to use it is going to be interesting speaking of out of curiosity and I don’t think I did this but let’s pull this up see what the bot’s going to say about TMF if it’s bullish yet that’s what we’ve been waiting on uh and let’s just see how this thing works out the bot you know it’s interesting because it takes all the statistical information puts it together spits out the code of what we’re looking at and of course it’s been bearish and I told everybody this it’s been bearish and now we’re waiting for the flip and we’re getting close that five’s coming up to the 13 which is going to be nice we have the 13 getting up or the RSI creeping up to 50 this is going to be a big week we’re going to see how this goes this week and next week I am hoping we’re going to be able to get up and test that 50 at around $49 a share we will see soon enough the bot is on fire and when it said it was bearish it dropped now I’m waiting for it to tell us it’s bullish and I will feel good all right now I told you I’d share with you the information.
Evaluating the Likelihood of Recession Based on Federal Reserve Data
every single time we have crossed 04 or more we have eventually had a recession now this one took four years right then I can say well right go up until we never had a time zero five always had a recession we are right here right now and we we actually spiked up the 7 which has only been you know the 70s into the 80s which was horrible time but here you go right here so this is the fed’s probability and right now it’s saying we have a 58.3% chance more more than 50% chance of having a recession by March of 2025 family this is under a year away the fed’s own probability calculator is telling us and remember this is out of the New York fed this is not something that I made up this is their calculations so they know this and I think the FED absolutely is pushing this towards it on purpose with the higher rates for longer because they got to break the back of inflation now he’s come out and I’m talking about J pal and he stated to Congress that he may have to cause some pain but because the pain of inflation is worse than the pain of unemployment in the short term so yes some people are going to be affected he feels bad but in the long run if we don’t beat inflation everyone’s going to be affected not just the people who are laid off now I look at it as like this from him he it’s one of them you know if you watch Star Trek back in the day with old Spock in the radiation thing and Kirk on the outside the needs of the many out outweigh the needs of the few to me it basically when I watched him go ahead and talk to Congress and everything else that’s what I got out of him he’s saying the needs of the many are going to absolutely outweigh the needs of the few some people are going to get hurt but the overall population will benefit from the moves he’s making his legacy is writing on this there is a ton writing on this but I’m watching everything he’s doing the other presidents of the FED are coming out and talking everywhere I just say all the presidents of the fed he’s he’s out here running the Fed so we’re going to see where it goes at that point now I want to come out here and talk a little bit about TMF show you the chart as I showed you the breadbot we’ll get into some support levels here this.
Unlocking the Power of Stock Mode Discord Bot for Trading Success
Exploring the Potential of Stock Mode Discord Bot for Effective Trading
If you’re not over at my stock mode Discord, get in here! People are sharing how much money they’re making with the breadbot family. This bot is a fantastic tool that allows you to input a command and get detailed stock information instantly. You can use it for both crypto and stocks, providing valuable insights for your trading strategies.
Utilizing Market Data and Insights for Informed Trading Decisions
The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to halt the roll-off of its balance sheet from $60 billion to $25 billion has significant implications. This move reduces stress on long-dated Treasuries, which presents opportunities for strategic investments. By leveraging this information, you can make informed decisions on Treasury exposure and enhance your trading portfolio.
Interpreting Economic Indicators and Forecasting Trends
Analyzing the treasury spread and historical data can offer insights into potential economic downturns. The Fed’s probability calculator indicates a more than 50% chance of a recession by March 2025. Understanding these indicators and forecasts can help you navigate market uncertainties and adapt your investment strategies accordingly for long-term success.
Analyzing TMF Trends: Will Bullish Momentum Return?
Examining TMF Trends: Analysis of Potential Bullish Momentum
The Federal Reserve’s decision to reduce the roll-off of its balance sheet from $60 billion to $25 billion has had a significant impact on long-dated Treasuries, relieving stress on this market segment. This development presents a promising opportunity for strategic investments in Treasury exposure, allowing for calculated decisions to enhance trading portfolios.
Deciphering Economic Signals and Predicting Market Trajectories
By delving into the treasury spread and historical data, traders can gain valuable insights into potential economic downturns. The Fed’s probability calculator suggests a likelihood of over 50% for a recession by March 2025. Understanding these economic indicators and forecasts enables traders to navigate market uncertainties effectively and adjust their investment strategies for long-term success.
Exploring Insights from Market Data for Informed Trading Strategies
Utilizing the information derived from the Federal Reserve’s recent policy adjustments can provide traders with a competitive edge. This data offers an opportunity to make well-informed decisions regarding Treasury exposure and overall trading activities. Leveraging these insights can lead to more effective trading approaches and potentially improved financial outcomes in the market.
Examining Fed Data Predictions and Implications for Economic Health
Insights from Federal Reserve Data Analysis and Economic Health Implications
The recent data from the Federal Reserve suggests a potential economic downturn as the probability of a recession exceeds 50% by March 2025. By examining historical trends and economic indicators, traders can better forecast market trajectories and adjust their investment strategies accordingly to navigate uncertainties and achieve long-term success.
Utilizing Market Insights for Strategic Trading Decisions
The Federal Reserve’s decision to modify its balance sheet roll-off strategy has created opportunities for strategic investments, particularly in long-dated Treasuries. Traders can leverage this information to make informed decisions on Treasury exposure, enhancing their trading portfolios and optimizing their overall trading activities for improved financial outcomes.
Interpreting Economic Signals for Enhanced Trading Strategies
By analyzing the treasury spread and understanding historical data, traders can gain valuable insights into potential recessions and market trends. With the Fed’s probability calculator pointing towards a significant likelihood of a recession, traders can interpret these economic signals to adapt their trading strategies effectively, ensuring they are well-prepared for future market developments.
Preparing for a Possible Market Downturn: Precautions and Strategies
Strategies for Navigating Market Uncertainties
The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to halt the roll-off of its balance sheet from $60 billion to $25 billion has significant implications. This move reduces stress on long-dated Treasuries, which presents opportunities for strategic investments. By leveraging this information, you can make informed decisions on Treasury exposure and enhance your trading portfolio.
Insights into Economic Indicators and Market Forecasts
Analyzing the treasury spread and historical data can offer insights into potential economic downturns. The Fed’s probability calculator indicates a more than 50% chance of a recession by March 2025. Understanding these indicators and forecasts can help you navigate market uncertainties and adapt your investment strategies accordingly for long-term success.
Utilizing Data Analysis for Informed Trading Decisions
Utilizing the information derived from the Federal Reserve’s recent policy adjustments can provide traders with a competitive edge. This data offers an opportunity to make well-informed decisions regarding Treasury exposure and overall trading activities. Leveraging these insights can lead to more effective trading approaches and potentially improved financial outcomes in the market.
